DIRS.INFO The most relevant business & tech news

☆ Wall Street is confused and divided over how many times the Fed will cut rates this year
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-02 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Wall Street reacted Thursday to this week's Fed meeting, with forecasts scattered across a range of outcomes for where monetary policy heads next. Most economists for the biggest forecasting firms expect the central bank to lower benchmark interest rates sometime later this year. Goldman left in place its call for two rate cuts this year of a quarter percentage point each, with one in July and the other in November. "If inflation comes in stronger than in our baseline, we would expect the first rate cut to be postponed to December," he wrote. For 2025, we continue to expect four rate cuts."

Persons: Goldman Sachs, David Mericle, Powell, Goldman, Andrew Hollenhorst, Morgan Stanley, Ellen Zentner, Marc Giannoni, Michael Gapen, Michael Bloom Organizations: Fed, Futures, Group, Citigroup, Barclays, Bank of America

☆ 'The Fed is giving us a gift by keeping rates high,' says Greenwich Wealth's Vahan Janjigian
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email'The Fed is giving us a gift by keeping rates high,' says Greenwich Wealth's Vahan JanjigianVahan Janjigian, CIO of Greenwich Wealth Management, Marc Giannoni, chief U.S. economist at Barclays, and CNBC's Steve Liesman join 'The Exchange' to discuss the potential for rate cuts, outlooks on economic data, and more.

Persons: Janjigian, Marc Giannoni, Steve Liesman Organizations: Greenwich, Greenwich Wealth Management, Barclays

☆ 3 signs the economy is thriving — and 3 red flags to monitor
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-15 | by ( Noah Sheidlower | Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +10 min

Positive labor market data and GDP growth support this, but job opportunities in some sectors are down. Not all job data is positive, with job openings falling from their post-pandemic highs. Below are some of the signs the economy is thriving, as well as some warning signs. Labor market data is mostly positiveThe labor market is still stable despite gradually slowing, Kimbrough said during the forum. "I think the investment side of our economy is going to start to chip away a little bit at the discretionary consumption weight in our economy."

Persons: —, Marc Giannoni, LinkedIn's Karin Kimbrough, Charles Schwab's Liz Ann Sonders, Giannoni, Kimbrough, Jerome Powell, Powell, NerdWallet's Elizabeth Renter, Sonders, They're, there’s, there's, — Kimbrough, it’s Organizations: Federal, Service, Barclays, NYU Stern Economic, Labor, Conference, University of Michigan's, Market Committee, Health, New, New York City Housing Locations: York, New York City

☆ Wall Street has adjusted its expectations for when the Fed starts cutting rates
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-01 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Traders have moved out the probability of a March easing from around 90% in recent weeks to a coin-flip in the days leading up to this week's Federal Open Market Committee meeting to about a 1-in-3 chance Thursday. That's not to say the market still doesn't think the committee will cut rates sharply this year, but any dialing back now probably won't come quite as soon as expected. For the most part, Wall Street commentary showed an expectation that the Fed will cut at least four times this year, likely beginning in either May or June. "As inflation falls, real rates become more restrictive, and we think gaining consensus to cut will be easier." Most of Wall Street expects the FOMC to skip November, as the meeting falls the same week as the U.S. presidential election.

Persons: Jerome Powell, That's, Matthew Luzzetti, FOMC, Morgan Stanley, Ellen Zentner, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Powell, David Mericle, Michael Gapen, Marc Giannoni, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Traders, Deutsche Bank, Dow Jones, Fed, Wall, U.S, Bank of America, Barclays

☆ There is not another rate hike left in the cycle, says Evercore's Julian Emanuel
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-31 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThere is not another rate hike left in the cycle, says Evercore's Julian EmanuelJulian Emanuel, Evercore senior managing director, and Marc Giannoni, chief U.S. economist at Barclays, join 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss how investors should play the stock market, their take on the Federal Reserve and the recent acceleration of economic data.

Persons: Evercore's Julian Emanuel Julian Emanuel, Evercore, Marc Giannoni Organizations: Barclays, Federal Reserve

☆ U.S. stocks may start to question economic resilience, says Morgan Stanley
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-21 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

FILE PHOTO: People are seen on Wall Street outside the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., March 19, 2021. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsAug 21 (Reuters) - The S&P 500 will likely struggle to make more headway after rallying almost 14% so far this year as investors start to question the sustainability of the U.S. economy's resilience, Morgan Stanley equity strategists said. One reason is that a "sell-the news" mentality has taken hold following second-quarter earnings, potentially slowing price momentum, said Morgan Stanley strategists, led by Michael Wilson. "While limited in downside magnitude, this recent price action is a change and suggests stocks may be starting to question the sustainability of the economic resiliency we experienced in the first half of the year," said Wilson. Wilson also sees fading tailwinds from excess savings among consumers, which leaves consumer discretionary stocks vulnerable.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Morgan Stanley, Michael Wilson, Wilson, Marc Giannoni, Susan Mathew, Saumyadeb Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Treasury, Barclays, Credit Suisse, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Bengaluru

☆ Asia stutters as China doles out meagre rate cut
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-21 | by ( Wayne Cole | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

China's central bank trimmed its one-year lending rate by 10 basis points and left its five-year rate unmoved, a surprise to analysts who had expected cuts of 15 basis points to both. Disappointment at the meagre move saw Chinese blue chips (.CSI300) ease 0.3%, while the Australian dollar took a dip as a liquid proxy for China risk. Analysts at Goldman Sachs, meanwhile, argue there is still scope for investors to add to equity positions. The ascent of the dollar and yields was weighing on gold at $1,887 an ounce , having touched a five-month low last week. Brent was up 38 cents at $85.18 a barrel, while U.S. crude bounced 45 cents to $81.70 per barrel.

Persons: Issei Kato, Fed's Jackson, Nvidia, Goldman Sachs, Jerome Powell, Powell, Marc Giannoni, Brent, Wayne Cole, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: REUTERS, Nikkei, China, Japan's Nikkei, FTSE, Nasdaq, Goldman, U.S, Jackson, Barclays, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, SYDNEY, China, Beijing, Asia, Pacific, Atlanta

☆ We expect a downturn in Q1 '24 as student loan repayments kick in, says Barclays' Giannoni
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-28 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe expect a downturn in Q1 '24 as student loan repayments kick in, says Barclays' GiannoniMarc Giannoni, managing director and chief U.S. economist at Barclays, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss why the economist is still in the higher for longer camp, when the consumer will be impacted by higher rates, and more.

Persons: Marc Giannoni Organizations: Barclays

☆ Wall Street economists say rate hikes are over, even if the Fed won't admit it
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-27 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

At least that's the opinion across much of Wall Street, where the money is rising on the likelihood that Wednesday's quarter-point rate hike was the last one before the Fed goes on pause, then ultimately starts cutting. "Powell said that the FOMC will be particularly focused on the inflation data, and we expect the next few [consumer price index] reports to be soft," Mericle wrote. The implied fed funds rate for the December contract is at 5.41%, just above the midpoint of the 5.25%-5% target range following Wednesday's hike. And to be sure, not everyone on the Street thinks the Fed is done this year. The latter mark references Giannoni's belief that the Fed is probably more likely to hike twice more than it is to stop.

Persons: they're, Goldman Sachs, David Mericle, Goldman, Jerome Powell, Powell, Mericle, Dow Jones, Matthew Luzzetti, Morgan Stanley, Ellen Zentner, Zentner, That's, he's, Marc Giannoni Organizations: Federal, Traders, CME Group, Gross, Commerce Department, Deutsche Bank, Fed, Bank of America, Citigroup, Barclays Locations: Wall

☆ Wall Street sees the Fed starting to signal toward a recession ahead
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-23 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The Wall Street consensus after the Federal Open Market Committee meeting concluded Wednesday was equally cautious. "We took the broad signals from this meeting as lifting perceptions of recession risks within the Fed," wrote Matthew Luzzetti, chief U.S. economist at Deutsche Bank. "Powell noted that recent events will certainly not reduce recession risks, even if how much they heighten those risks remains uncertain." The risk from rates Worries remain that more Fed rate hikes will exacerbate banking problems by creating more duration risk. "We expect the FOMC to hike another 25bp in May, bringing the funds rate target range to 5.00-5.25%," wrote Barclays chief U.S. economist Marc Giannoni.

☆ A reading of more than 200,000 jobs added in February would be the Fed's trigger for a big March rate hike, Barclays says
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-08 | by ( Carla Mozée | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The Fed will likely upsize its March rate hike if the February jobs report shows 200,00 or more jobs added, Barclays said. Investors on Tuesday quickly pushed up the odds the Fed deliver a rate hike of a half-percentage point after downsizing the pace to 25 basis points last month. The February jobs report due Friday is expected to show the world's largest economy added 203,000 jobs, with a steady unemployment rate of 3.4%. The January jobs report trounced expectations with growth of 517,000 jobs. Such moves would put the peak of the Fed's benchmark interest rate at 5.5%-5.75% assuming that after June, the Fed sees sufficient evidence that slowing in employment and wages warrant a pause in rate hikes, Barclays said.

☆ The Fed won't cut interest rates until late 2023 as the US economy continues to look resilient, Barclays says
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-29 | by ( Carla Mozée | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Barclays on Tuesday shifted when it sees the Fed starting to cut interest rates in 2023. A shallow recession should start later than Barclays anticipated, leading the investment bank to see rate cuts beginning in November 2023. The Fed will likely push rates to a peak range of 5% to 5.25%. The international investment bank had previously expected rate cuts to start in the third quarter of 2023, sized at 25 basis points. Barclays then projects a February 2023 rate increase of 50 basis points followed by a March hike of a quarter-percentage point to a range of 5% to 5.25%.

Search resuls for: "Marc Giannoni"

12 mentions found